26 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1472
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Boltik
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1559
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 68% (69)
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)