26 Jul · 18:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1607
FormWLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Patryk
ST
🇨🇿Szymon Toborek
ELO 1433
FormWLLWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+174
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)