27 Jul · 07:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1626
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pawlik
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1503
FormWLWLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 87% (15)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)