27 Jul · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Knazik
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1492
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (86)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H62-96
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.