27 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1545
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1538
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (70)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H17-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.