27 Jul · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1626
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pawlik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1534
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H11-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)