27 Jul · 14:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1381
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Muller
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1514
FormWWWLL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marat🌟Muller rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (36)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)