27 Jul · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1469
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1492
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 81% (72)
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H32-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.