27 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1641
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H28-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-22)