27 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1469
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slivka
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (12)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.