27 Jul · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1626
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1545
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)