27 Jul · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1393
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlumsky
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1447
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.