Michal Lysakowski vs Marcin Stepien

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27 Jul · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1601

3-0Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1639

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 54%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Total 78.5

70 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

6.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 49% → final 78%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 50 ptsLysakowski recovered from 33%69 points · 3 games