27 Jul · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1477
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sturma
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (38)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.