27 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1572
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Koutnik
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H9-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.