27 Jul · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Reska
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1455
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Reska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.