27 Jul · 19:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1434
FormWWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1572
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+138
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)