27 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Holik
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1434
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Holik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (20)
Fair odds · Holik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H11-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.