27 Jul · 17:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1519
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tlusty
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1459
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Sochor stays under total as underdog 70% (23)
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 27% · 3.72· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)