27 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holik🌟Muhlhauser rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (21)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)