27 Jul · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1425
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1499
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (72)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H21-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-10)