27 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1494
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vidourek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1422
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)