27 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1494
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vidourek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1417
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)