27 Jul · 18:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1497
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1621
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+124
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)