27 Jul · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1516
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Arkadiusz
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1456
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H38-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-24)