27 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1612
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Buklat
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1599
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.