28 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fitl
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1427
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)