28 Jul · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1526
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1564
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H6-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.