28 Jul · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1537
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1592
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.