28 Jul · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1560
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1464
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 71% (48)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)