28 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1617
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zacharda
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1616
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H18-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.