28 Jul · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1427
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1503
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Hons
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)