28 Jul · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1548
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.