28 Jul · 13:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1357
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1651
FormWWLWW
28%
72%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~71 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
14%
3-1
10%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+294
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+294)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)