28 Jul · 14:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1484
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1631
FormWWLWW
38%
62%
🌟Sulc covers set handicap as underdog 67% (90)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)