28 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1648
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Drozdz
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1579
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H30-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-24)