28 Jul · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1642
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stapor
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H27-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-24)