28 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1514
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1587
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H41-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-34)