28 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1642
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Drozdz
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1534
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H29-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-28)