28 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1427
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Moravec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)