28 Jul · 17:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1427
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sochor
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1469
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Sochor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (29)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H10-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.