28 Jul · 22:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1676
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sarganek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1539
FormLWWWL
61%
39%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 65% (48)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)