28 Jul · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1495
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1546
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.