28 Jul · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1460
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krcil
AK
🇨🇿Ales Krcil
ELO 1542
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)