28 Jul · 17:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1414
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1540
FormWWLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)