28 Jul · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1520
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1464
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 68% (31)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H51-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-35)