28 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1516
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1555
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.