28 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1469
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1555
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
🌟Dvorak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)