28 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1540
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Flesar
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1498
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.