28 Jul · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1508
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1546
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Baros goes over total as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.